Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0-4 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Dec 2024

Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0-4 HT 0-1
Caerau (Ely)
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
58%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.8pp
58%
Away Win
68%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhiwceiber Rangers EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 72%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/1.54
-85% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -30%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) cruised past Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Caerau (Ely)?

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0-4 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Penrhiwceiber Rangers 15%, draw 27%, Caerau (Ely) 58%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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