IMT Novi Beograd 0-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / +5%
1.42/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.05
-9% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.5 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 2.05
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
205 Passes 420
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
11.02.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 0-2 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
26.08.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0-2
AWAY Backa Topola
0.58 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 274
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola saw off IMT Novi Beograd 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Backa Topola found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 50% of the ball to Backa Topola's 50%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.58 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.33 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola?

IMT Novi Beograd 0-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 33%, draw 27%, Backa Topola 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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