Braintree Town 0-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.99
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
7%
17.4
X/1
9%
11.1
X/2
14%
4.12
X/X
11%
5.7
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
31%
2.0
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.02/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.97
-9% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
116 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 166 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Southend United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
0 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Southend United Southend United 0-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
01.01.2025 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
19.07.2014 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United HAZ
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United squeezed past Braintree Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Braintree Town and 0.67 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs Southend United?

Braintree Town 0-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 22%, draw 25%, Southend United 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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