Annagh United 0-1 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.9pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.4pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annagh United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.56/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.97
-24% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annagh United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 HT 0-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
15.03.2025 Annagh United Annagh United 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
14.12.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-3 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
05.10.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
02.12.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 HT 0-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
13.10.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Annagh United vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United nicked a narrow win over Annagh United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Annagh United at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Annagh United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Annagh United and 0.50 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Annagh United vs Ballinamallard United?

Annagh United 0-1 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annagh United vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annagh United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Annagh United 64%, draw 17%, Ballinamallard United 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Annagh United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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