27/01/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Horsham vs Potters Bar Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
20%
Draw
27%
35%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Horsham v Potters Bar Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Horsham
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Potters Bar Town
EU Bookmakers 34%
+41% /
+41%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-42% /
-42%
3.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/5.00
+89%
/
-32%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-68%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
379 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
386 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Horsham vs Potters Bar Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Horsham got the better of Potters Bar Town 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Horsham as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Horsham vs Potters Bar Town?
Horsham 2-0 Potters Bar Town in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Horsham vs Potters Bar Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Horsham win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Horsham 45%, draw 20%, Potters Bar Town 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Horsham), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Horsham)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
27 Jan 2024