Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - State Cup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.63 xG 1.34
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
355 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 4-4 HT 3-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
POST-MATCH Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva nicked a narrow win over Beitar Jerusalem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hapoel Beer Sheva as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Beitar Jerusalem in the Israel - State Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 44%, draw 26%, Beitar Jerusalem 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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