Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-4 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - State Cup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
232 Passes 293
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
21.08.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-1 HT 0-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
2-4
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Petah Tikva got the better of Maccabi Bnei Raina 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hapoel Petah Tikva found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Bnei Raina had 64% of the ball to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 36%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maccabi Bnei Raina and 1.00 for Hapoel Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-4 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - State Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Bnei Raina win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Bnei Raina 35%, draw 29%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 35%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5
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