Hapoel Jerusalem 2-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - State Cup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.6pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 0.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
284 Passes 322
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
29.07.2023 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 1-1 HT 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Jerusalem
2-0
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Jerusalem saw off Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 36% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hapoel Jerusalem found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hapoel Jerusalem had 47% of the ball to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 53%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hapoel Jerusalem had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hapoel Jerusalem and 1.00 for Hapoel Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Hapoel Jerusalem 2-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Israel - State Cup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Jerusalem 29%, draw 36%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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