FC Challans 3-0 Niort II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
46%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FC Challans win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Challans The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Niort II The Market 20%
-73% / -73% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-40% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -47%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH FC Challans vs Niort II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Challans ran out comfortable winners over Niort II 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Challans as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of FC Challans vs Niort II?

FC Challans 3-0 Niort II in the France - National League 3 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Challans vs Niort II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Challans win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FC Challans 58%, draw 26%, Niort II 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Challans), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Challans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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