27/01/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Union Cosnoise vs Sochaux II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
36%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
46%
22%
Draw
24%
40%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Cosnoise v Sochaux II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Union Cosnoise
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sochaux II
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+27% /
+27%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-32%
/
+150%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
5
373 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Union Cosnoise vs Sochaux II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Union Cosnoise swept aside Sochaux II 3-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Union Cosnoise made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Union Cosnoise vs Sochaux II?
Union Cosnoise 3-0 Sochaux II in the France - National League 3 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Cosnoise vs Sochaux II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Cosnoise 38%, draw 22%, Sochaux II 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sochaux II), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sochaux II)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
27 Jan 2024