Sarpsborg 08 2-0 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.68
Over 2.5
61%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.41
No
47%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.08
2-3 Goals
43%
2.42
4-5 Goals
26%
2.31
6+ Goals
12%
3.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.66
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
16.6
X/1
18%
4.13
X/2
7%
13.9
X/X
6%
8.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
16.75
2/2
8%
8.35
2/X
6%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.75 — our 11% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.7pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.9pp
47%
BTTS No
33%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.98/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/6.00
+48% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -68%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.85 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
320 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 5-1 HT 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
02.07.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 6-1 HT 3-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
02.10.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-1 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
03.07.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 4-3 HT 2-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
29.08.2021 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 5-0 HT 4-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
10.07.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 beat Sandefjord 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 2.00 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord?

Sarpsborg 08 2-0 Sandefjord in the Friendlies on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 58%, draw 21%, Sandefjord 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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