RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 27 Jan 2024

RKC Waalwijk
1-1 HT 0-0
Sparta Rotterdam
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

RKC Waalwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.67
6+ Goals
13%
15.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.21
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
19%
4.8
X/2
16%
5.92
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.29
2/X
8%
14.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +32%
1.64/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.36
+30% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.5 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

RKC Waalwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
344 Passes 406
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
05.08.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HAZ
24.01.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
02.10.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
23.12.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
23.10.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1-1
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
340 Passes 407
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk and Sparta Rotterdam couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 46% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 54%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.00 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam?

RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 40%, draw 24%, Sparta Rotterdam 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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