Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves and Celta Vigo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 50% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 50%, shots finished 3-5, expected goals 0.95 to 0.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 2.00 for Celta Vigo.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo?
Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 41%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), BTTS No went the other way.