Venezia 1-1 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.91
Over
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.44
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
20%
3.26
6+
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
3.08
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
8%
11.9
X/1
6%
5.27
X/2
10%
6.91
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
5%
25.0
2/2
11%
4.73
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona The Market 33%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.55/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.27
-10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.9 Crosses 16.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.99 xG 2.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
265 Passes 362
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
27.02.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
05.12.2021 Venezia Venezia 3-4 HT 3-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
28.10.2020 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-3 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTK
03.03.2019 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
21.10.2018 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
1-1
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.58 xG 1.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
264 Passes 259
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia and Hellas Verona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Venezia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Venezia had 49% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 51%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.58 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Venezia and 2.33 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Hellas Verona?

Venezia 1-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Venezia 43%, draw 28%, Hellas Verona 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Venezia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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