Genoa vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Monza — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Genoa 2-0 Monza — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa saw off Monza 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Genoa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Genoa had 50% of the ball to Monza's 50%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.66 to 0.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Genoa and 1.20 for Monza.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Monza?
Genoa 2-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Monza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Genoa 41%, draw 29%, Monza 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.