Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera and Independiente Medellin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 51% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 49%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 1.20 to 0.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.50 for Independiente Medellin.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellin?
Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 34%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No went the other way.