Torreense 1-1 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No Pick
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.78
2-3
43%
1.72
4-5
20%
3.76
6+
9%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II The Market 36%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.32/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.56
-28% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses 15.5
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Benfica II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.29 xG 1.08
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
310 Passes 409
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 2-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
17.02.2024 Torreense Torreense 3-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
17.09.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 0-2 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
19.02.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 0-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
28.08.2022 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
1-1
AWAY Benfica II
2.71 xG 1.98
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
215 Passes 327
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense and Benfica II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torreense had 41% of the ball to Benfica II's 59%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 2.71 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Torreense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Torreense and 0.80 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Benfica II?

Torreense 1-1 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Torreense 36%, draw 24%, Benfica II 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benfica II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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