Al-Qadsiah 2-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Jan 2025

Al-Qadsiah
2-1 HT 1-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
📅27/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al-Qadsiah v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
1.35/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.15
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 83%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.1
13.9 Crosses 24.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.59 xG 2.12
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
240 Passes 497
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.03.2021 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
21.12.2020 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
12.02.2019 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
02.11.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.03.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
20.01.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SAKK

Al-Qadsiah 2-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
2-1
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
2.04 xG 1.12
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
240 Passes 515
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah squeezed past Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Riyadh at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 35% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 65%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 2.04 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.83 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al-Qadsiah 2-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 30%, draw 23%, Al Hilal Riyadh 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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