Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.63/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.12
+8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.2 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Fayha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.56 xG 1.09
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
455 Passes 302
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2025 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SAKK
07.03.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
15.09.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
09.03.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 HT 3-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
02.10.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
27.02.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2-1
AWAY Al Fayha
2.59 xG 1.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
504 Passes 251
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh edged past Al Fayha 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 63% of the ball to Al Fayha's 37%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 2.59 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.33 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 43%, draw 28%, Al Fayha 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh)
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