Damac FC 2-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
8.17
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 31% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-12.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.9pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 64%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.00/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.96
-10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +35%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
16.5 Crosses 19.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
07.12.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
04.04.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-0 HT 2-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
11.10.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
03.03.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
17.10.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
2-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.61 xG 1.53
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 18
194 Passes 523
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 37
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC edged past Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ittihad-Jeddah at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Damac FC had 29% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 71%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.61 to 1.53 — on chances, Al Ittihad-Jeddah could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Damac FC and 2.00 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Damac FC 2-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 27%, draw 25%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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