Al Karkh 1-1 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Jan 2026

Al Karkh
1-1 HT 1-1
Erbil
📅27/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Karkh vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Karkh v Erbil — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 36%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.74/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.21
+56% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Karkh vs Erbil Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karkh
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Erbil
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
29.06.2025 Erbil Erbil 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Karkh Al Karkh IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh and Erbil shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Erbil?

Al Karkh 1-1 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 32%, draw 33%, Erbil 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Erbil), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erbil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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