Newroz 0-1 Al Karma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.4pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karma EU Bookmakers 46%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.52/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.58
-49% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Karma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
04.03.2025 Al Karma 2-0 HT 0-0 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Karma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma nicked a narrow win over Newroz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Karma?

Newroz 0-1 Al Karma in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Karma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Newroz 23%, draw 35%, Al Karma 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Karma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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