İzlanda (K) 2-1 Sırbistan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.5pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-51% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İzlanda (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sırbistan (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
200 Passes 295
61% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Sırbistan (K) Sırbistan (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) AVKUL
17.09.2014 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) 9-1 HT 3-0 Sırbistan (K) Sırbistan (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İzlanda (K)
2-1
AWAY Sırbistan (K)
1.71 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
297 Passes 217
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İzlanda (K) vs Sırbistan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda (K) squeezed past Sırbistan (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had İzlanda (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İzlanda (K) had 57% of the ball to Sırbistan (K)'s 43%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.71 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İzlanda (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for İzlanda (K) and 1.00 for Sırbistan (K).

What was the final score of İzlanda (K) vs Sırbistan (K)?

İzlanda (K) 2-1 Sırbistan (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzlanda (K) vs Sırbistan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İzlanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split İzlanda (K) 49%, draw 25%, Sırbistan (K) 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İzlanda (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İzlanda (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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