Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Newcastle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 27 Feb 2024

Blackburn Rovers
1-1 HT 0-0
Newcastle
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Blackburn Rovers vs Newcastle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
51%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.74
Over 2.5
49%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
6.5
2-3 Goals
42%
2.13
4-5 Goals
24%
2.51
6+ Goals
9%
5.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.5 — our 25% vs market 11.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.7
1/2
7%
19.2
1/X
5%
18.75
X/1
8%
15.95
X/2
18%
3.79
X/X
12%
8.33
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.59
2/X
7%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+10.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
51%
Away Win
68%
-16.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
33%
+17.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
67%
-17.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackburn Rovers v Newcastle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle EU Bookmakers 72%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.11/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.86
-91% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.1
– Crosses 27.9
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Blackburn Rovers vs Newcastle Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Newcastle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.10 xG 2.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 9
338 Passes 338
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.01.2019 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-4 HT 2-2 Newcastle Newcastle FAK
05.01.2019 Newcastle Newcastle 1-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers FAK
07.01.2012 Newcastle Newcastle 2-1 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers FAK

Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Newcastle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1-1
AWAY Newcastle
1.65 xG 3.22
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 14
346 Passes 618
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 53
9 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Newcastle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 38% of the ball to Newcastle's 62%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.65 to 3.22.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newcastle led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 2.33 for Newcastle.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Newcastle?

Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Newcastle in the England - FA Cup on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Newcastle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 25%, draw 24%, Newcastle 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newcastle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle) ✓ Under 2.5
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