Piast Gliwice 3-0 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.85
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
10%
5.84
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
4.72
X/X
19%
3.48
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.6
2/X
4%
14.55
Value flag · X/2 at 4.72 — our 23% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.08/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.55
-94% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +127%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 372
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
11.08.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
04.02.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
06.10.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
10.12.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
25.07.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-3 HT 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
3-0
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice ran out comfortable winners over Rakow Czestochowa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Piast Gliwice made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 51% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 49%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.67 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Piast Gliwice 3-0 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Cup on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 29%, draw 31%, Rakow Czestochowa 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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