Sitra 2-1 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Copa del Rey, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
3.68
6+ Goals
6%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 34% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.9pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 Sitra Sitra 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
04.03.2024 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
29.09.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 3-1 HT 1-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
25.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
20.10.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-2 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
25.03.2021 Sitra Sitra 0-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
2-1
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra edged past Al Ahli Manama 2-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sitra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sitra had 37% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 63%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sitra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sitra and 1.17 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama?

Sitra 2-1 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Copa del Rey on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sitra 32%, draw 33%, Al Ahli Manama 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAHKK More Bahrain - Copa del Rey
27 Feb 2025
19:15 Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq Analysis →