Uniao Carmolandense 4-2 America RN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
55%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+12.3pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.3pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Carmolandense EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY America RN EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Uniao Carmolandense vs America RN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Carmolandense saw off America RN 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had America RN at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Uniao Carmolandense vs America RN?

Uniao Carmolandense 4-2 America RN in the Brazil - Cup on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Carmolandense vs America RN?

Before kick-off our model rated an America RN win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Uniao Carmolandense 27%, draw 18%, America RN 55%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (America RN) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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