Punjab FC 0-1 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.0
Over Pick
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.5
2-3
38%
1.76
4-5
27%
3.11
6+
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.57/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.51
+26% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.3 Crosses 20.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Goa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 1.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
328 Passes 339
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 1-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
11.03.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 3-3 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
02.10.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 1-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
0-1
AWAY FC Goa
0.18 xG 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
245 Passes 431
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
6 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa squeezed past Punjab FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; FC Goa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Punjab FC had 39% of the ball to FC Goa's 61%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.18 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Goa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Punjab FC and 2.00 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs FC Goa?

Punjab FC 0-1 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 39%, draw 24%, FC Goa 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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