Al Gharafa 0-4 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.59
6+ Goals
16%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.0pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.76/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.59
+35% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
13.1 Crosses 11.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.88 xG 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 393
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2024 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 3-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
06.03.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
28.09.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
15.02.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
23.08.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
05.02.2022 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-5 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
0-4
AWAY Al Sadd
0.91 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
369 Passes 388
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd ran out comfortable winners over Al Gharafa 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Al Sadd made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 49% of the ball to Al Sadd's 51%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.91 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Gharafa and 3.17 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd?

Al Gharafa 0-4 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 41%, draw 22%, Al Sadd 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Gharafa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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