Heidelberg United 1-2 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.91/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.50
-18% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 16.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dandenong City
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.07 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
221 Passes 244
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
27.06.2025 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-2 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
21.03.2025 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-2 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
18.08.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 3-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
10.05.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-3 HT 0-2 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
24.07.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 5-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City nicked a narrow win over Heidelberg United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Heidelberg United at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Heidelberg United and 0.83 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Dandenong City?

Heidelberg United 1-2 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 56%, draw 21%, Dandenong City 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heidelberg United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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