Heidelberg United 3-0 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

Heidelberg United
3-0 HT 1-0
Dandenong City
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Heidelberg United vs Dandenong City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heidelberg United v Dandenong City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 22%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.39/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.73
-38% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.7 Crosses 16.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Heidelberg United vs Dandenong City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Dandenong City
3.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
2.07 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
220 Passes 284
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-3 HT 0-2 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
24.07.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 5-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
23.04.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-6 HT 0-3 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
25.06.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 4-3 HT 3-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
28.03.2021 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-1 HT 2-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United ran out comfortable winners over Dandenong City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Heidelberg United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.40 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Dandenong City?

Heidelberg United 3-0 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 47%, draw 24%, Dandenong City 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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