Lobos UPNFM 1-0 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.62/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.10
+24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Platense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense HON
11.08.2025 Platense Platense 4-1 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.04.2022 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
10.02.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 0-2 Platense Platense HON
27.09.2021 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
18.04.2021 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM squeezed past Platense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Lobos UPNFM found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Platense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.67 for Platense.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Platense?

Lobos UPNFM 1-0 Platense in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 35%, draw 30%, Platense 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Platense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Platense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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