Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 38% vs market 33.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.45
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
15%
5.05
X/2
14%
6.34
X/X
20%
3.92
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
14%
4.91
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.1pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.10/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.98
+13% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 65%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
16.9 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stevenage
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.50 xG 0.75
57% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 162
64% Pass Accuracy 57%
14 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2025 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İNTK
23.11.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 0-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
16.03.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
02.09.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-3 HT 0-2 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
21.01.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 3-0 HT 2-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
27.12.2022 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-0
AWAY Stevenage
0.20 xG 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
210 Passes 208
64% Pass Accuracy 65%
8 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient squeezed past Stevenage 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Leyton Orient made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 50% of the ball to Stevenage's 50%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.20 to 0.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Stevenage.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.17 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?

Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 36%, draw 30%, Stevenage 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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