Baniyas SC 2-1 Al Urooba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.7pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.66/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.89
-13% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.8 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baniyas SC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Urooba
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.97 xG 1.38
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 235
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-0 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
10.05.2022 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-1 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
20.11.2021 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
06.12.2020 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAECK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baniyas SC
2-1
AWAY Al Urooba
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Baniyas SC vs Al Urooba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baniyas SC edged past Al Urooba 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Baniyas SC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Baniyas SC had 57% of the ball to Al Urooba's 43%, shots finished 23-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Baniyas SC and 0.75 for Al Urooba.

What was the final score of Baniyas SC vs Al Urooba?

Baniyas SC 2-1 Al Urooba in the UAE - League on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baniyas SC vs Al Urooba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baniyas SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baniyas SC 43%, draw 31%, Al Urooba 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baniyas SC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baniyas SC) ✗ Under 2.5
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