Al Nasr 0-1 Al Bataeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 27 Mar 2025

📅27/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +19%
1.76/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.27
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 76%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.9 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Bataeh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.96 xG 1.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
372 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 3-4 HT 2-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
21.04.2024 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
03.11.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
06.05.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
24.12.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
25.11.2022 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Bataeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bataeh squeezed past Al Nasr 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nasr at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Bataeh led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Nasr and 2.00 for Al Bataeh.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Bataeh?

Al Nasr 0-1 Al Bataeh in the UAE - League on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Bataeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 47%, draw 25%, Al Bataeh 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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