Uganda Police 0-1 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 27 Mar 2025

Uganda Police
0-1 HT 0-0
Kitara
📅27/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

Uganda Police vs Kitara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
3%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.1pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.0pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uganda Police v Kitara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.35/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.46
-61% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +99%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Uganda Police vs Kitara Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kitara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2024 Kitara Kitara 0-1 HT 0-1 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara nicked a narrow win over Uganda Police 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 31%) promised a tight game; Kitara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Kitara?

Uganda Police 0-1 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 27/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 34%, draw 35%, Kitara 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
27 Mar 2025
19:00 NEC vs Express Analysis →