Cork City 4-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.28
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
74%
+0.7pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.7pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.78/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.56
-22% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
502 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.10.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 1-1 Cork City Cork City İR1
09.08.2024 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
31.05.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
29.03.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
14.10.2022 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Cork City Cork City İR1
05.08.2022 Cork City Cork City 6-1 HT 3-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
4-1
AWAY Athlone Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City cruised past Athlone Town 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cork City had 50% of the ball to Athlone Town's 50%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cork City and 1.50 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Athlone Town?

Cork City 4-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Cork City 75%, draw 16%, Athlone Town 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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