Bray Wanderers 2-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Mar 2026

📅27/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.96/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.07
+37% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kerry
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
17.10.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 5-1 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
20.06.2025 Kerry 2-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
25.04.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 4-2 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
07.03.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.09.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
12.07.2024 Kerry 3-3 HT 2-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers edged past Kerry 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.33 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?

Bray Wanderers 2-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 51%, draw 27%, Kerry 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
27 Mar 2026
22:45 Cork City vs Athlone Town Analysis →
22:45 Wexford Youths vs Treaty United Analysis →
22:45 Univ College Dublin vs Cobh Ramblers Analysis →