Bray Wanderers 4-2 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.94/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.36
+30% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kerry
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Corners 8
07.03.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.09.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
12.07.2024 Kerry 3-3 HT 2-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
26.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
23.02.2024 Kerry 2-3 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
01.09.2023 Kerry 1-3 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers got the better of Kerry 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.00 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?

Bray Wanderers 4-2 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 49%, draw 23%, Kerry 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5
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