Treaty United 1-0 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.03
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 33% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.31/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.62
-11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-5 HT 0-3 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
20.09.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-2 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.06.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
06.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
01.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
22.09.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United nicked a narrow win over Athlone Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Treaty United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Treaty United and 1.00 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Treaty United 1-0 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 44%, draw 28%, Athlone Town 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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