Bray Wanderers 5-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.76
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+5.0pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
1.65/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.94
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kerry
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
20.06.2025 Kerry 2-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
25.04.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 4-2 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
07.03.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.09.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
12.07.2024 Kerry 3-3 HT 2-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
26.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Kerry 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.17 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?

Bray Wanderers 5-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 57%, draw 18%, Kerry 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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