Finn Harps 3-4 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 31% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.30/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.74
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +65%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
207 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRK
11.07.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-1 HT 2-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.05.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
07.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.08.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
13.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
3-4
AWAY Univ College Dublin
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin edged past Finn Harps 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Finn Harps had 45% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 55%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Finn Harps and 1.50 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin?

Finn Harps 3-4 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 29%, draw 24%, Univ College Dublin 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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