Univ College Dublin 3-1 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Jul 2025

📅11/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +0%
1.34/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
-19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
07.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.08.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
13.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
17.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-3 HT 1-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
05.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin saw off Finn Harps 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.17 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps?

Univ College Dublin 3-1 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 11/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 42%, draw 28%, Finn Harps 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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