Athlone Town 1-2 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.74
Over 2.5
51%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
6.06
2-3 Goals
43%
2.07
4-5 Goals
23%
2.43
6+ Goals
11%
4.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.06 — our 23% vs market 11.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
33%
+16.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
67%
-16.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.4pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.32/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.22
-9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Longford Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.06.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
21.04.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
01.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.10.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.07.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town nicked a narrow win over Athlone Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Longford Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Athlone Town and 1.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Athlone Town 1-2 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 37%, draw 22%, Longford Town 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Longford Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Longford Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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