Athlone Town 1-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-28% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.20/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.92
-30% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Longford Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.10.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.07.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
22.03.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-3 HT 0-3 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
20.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town and Longford Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Athlone Town at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Athlone Town and 1.17 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Athlone Town 1-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 54%, draw 21%, Longford Town 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athlone Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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