Longford Town 1-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 33% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.6pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.08/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.73
-20% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.07.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
22.03.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-3 HT 0-3 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
20.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
12.08.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Longford Town
1-1
AWAY Athlone Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town and Athlone Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Longford Town had 48% of the ball to Athlone Town's 52%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Longford Town and 2.00 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Longford Town 1-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 38%, draw 26%, Athlone Town 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Longford Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Longford Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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