Longford Town 1-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

Longford Town
1-1 HT 0-1
Athlone Town
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Longford Town vs Athlone Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.31 — our 30% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.1pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Longford Town v Athlone Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 55%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.10/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.68
-14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -59%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
246 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Longford Town vs Athlone Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.07.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
22.03.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-3 HT 0-3 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
20.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
12.08.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
02.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town and Athlone Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Athlone Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Longford Town and 2.00 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Longford Town 1-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 28%, draw 26%, Athlone Town 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athlone Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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