Longford Town 3-2 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Jun 2025

📅23/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 32% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
1.13/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.57
-28% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
01.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.10.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.07.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.05.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
22.03.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-3 HT 0-3 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town squeezed past Athlone Town 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Longford Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Longford Town and 1.83 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Longford Town 3-2 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 40%, draw 28%, Athlone Town 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Longford Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Longford Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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