Finn Harps vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Finn Harps v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals
Finn Harps vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Finn Harps 1-0 Dundalk — Actual Match Statistics
Finn Harps shaded a tight game against Dundalk 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Dundalk at 63% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Finn Harps had 32% of the ball to Dundalk's 68%, shots finished 3-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Finn Harps and 1.83 for Dundalk.
Finn Harps vs Dundalk Result & Final Score
Finn Harps 1 - 0 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier Division on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Finn Harps vs Dundalk Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 15%, draw 22%, Dundalk 63%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.