Finn Harps vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Finn Harps v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals
Finn Harps vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Dundalk
İRL
3-0
HT 3-0
Finn Harps
İRL
0-1
HT 0-0
Dundalk
İRL
3-0
HT 1-0
Finn Harps
İRL
Finn Harps 1-0 Dundalk — Actual Match Statistics
Finn Harps squeezed past Dundalk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Dundalk at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Finn Harps had 32% of the ball to Dundalk's 68%, shots finished 3-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Finn Harps and 1.83 for Dundalk.
What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Dundalk?
Finn Harps 1-0 Dundalk in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Dundalk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 23%, draw 25%, Dundalk 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundalk) went the other way.