Finn Harps 3-0 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 18 Jul 2025

📅18/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 23% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 43%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.28/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/3.96
-33% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.07.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-1 HT 2-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.05.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
07.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.08.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
13.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
17.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-3 HT 1-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
3-0
AWAY Univ College Dublin
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps ran out comfortable winners over Univ College Dublin 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Finn Harps made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Finn Harps had 51% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 49%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Finn Harps and 2.00 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin?

Finn Harps 3-0 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 18/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 33%, draw 30%, Univ College Dublin 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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